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Retirement Planning From a CFP® Professional: 6 Keys to a Happy and Successful Retirement

sometimes I feel like I've lived through my 60s and 70s thousands of times sitting with people in retirement or those that are entering retirement we come across a lot of the same fears negative thoughts and feelings that really hold people back from having a happier retirement now we try to address those through retirement strategy and implementing plans but in today's video instead of talking about strategy I want to talk to you about how we look at retirement so you can hopefully look at retirement through a different lens and I believe this will help you have a happier retirement foreign [Music] Happy Gilmore recently and there's this place that he goes to and he calls it his happy place and if you remember the movie the lead actress she's sitting there by like a fountain of beer with pictures and Happy's grandmothers there and it's just his happy place and this helps Happy Gilmore putt a little bit better to find your happy place in retirement I want you to shift your focus away from simply trying to maximize return in retirement it's not about growing Your Nest Egg anymore what we want to do is have an acceptable level of risk something that when the market goes down we can still stay invested we can stay committed to that plan but at the same time for that level of risk we have an expected return that can help make sure that you don't run out of money and generate enough growth to provide the income that you need to maintain your standard of living so here is one of the tools that we use to help understand your willingness to take risk so risk tolerance really has two components it has a capacity component meaning given a certain level of income that you desire from your portfolio can your portfolio withstand a certain level of risk and still provide that income so that's what we call risk capacity but then you have your willingness to stay invested in a down market so when we look here this is a standard 60 40 portfolio 600 000 stocks 400 000 in bonds has a risk number on a scale of 1 to 99 of 54.

now in isolation that means absolutely nothing to you but when we start to break it down into percentages and also or I should say more importantly dollars over a six month period your standard 60 40 portfolio has the potential to lose a hundred thousand dollars with a million invested this is a statistical quantitative analysis of volatility of this portfolio going back many years now over a 12-month period that means you could lose two hundred and twelve thousand dollars mathematically speaking is that a comfortable level of risk for you if you have a million dollars it's not for me to answer that's for you to answer that's your willingness to take risk so over a 12-month period mathematically you should expect to lose at some point in time up to twenty percent you could lose more of course this is a 95 probability or what we call two standard deviations but we have what we want to achieve here is a more optimal level of risk for an expected return so we have asymmetry here where the possible upside mathematically speaking is 15.92 percent over a six month period so we do have some asymmetry here but when we look a little bit deeper the annual range midpoint is 5.27 so this would be the expected return kind of moving forward with a two percent dividend this GPA this is a pretty cool feature of this software it's designed to help you understand what we call risk adjusted returns and this is this concept is kind of what I'm talking about here they've developed this GPA and a 4.3 would be most Optimum now not every portfolio that fits your particular needs is going to be a 4.3 we're not necessarily trying to achieve that but the higher we can get to that it means we have more expected return for the For Less risk so the question really becomes are you comfortable with this range of expected outcome if not this is too aggressive of a portfolio for you but instead of just focusing on like most people do the upside we need to focus more on this downside in having a plan that is optimized or having an investment strategy that's optimized for your happy place number two I want you to start to look at all of your investment choices in retirement for what they actually are now this is much different than in the accumulation phase in the retirement phase your financial investments all the various choices out there they're really nothing more than tools tools that are used to accomplish a certain objective similar to ingredients in a recipe if you have too much sugar or too much salt or not enough herbs or spices is it may not come out the way you want it to taste we want to use the appropriate tools to accomplish the objectives that you have in retirement stocks for example they aren't used to accumulate anymore stocks are designed to help keep you ahead of inflation so you can generate income that lasts as long as you do now in the accumulation phase that's exactly what stocks are designed to do they're designed to give you the best opportunity historically speaking to accumulate a larger and larger Nest Egg of course that assumes that you save enough money but in retirement you are no longer accumulating you are Distributing so stocks are used to help keep you ahead of inflation now the downside to stocks you could lose a lot of money especially if you get too aggressive or if you invest in things that don't perform well now does that make stocks bad because you could lose a whole bunch of money no they're just a tool and once you understand how to use that tool in conjunction with other tools now you can actually construct whatever project that you're building or have a retirement plan that provides you the income you need to maintain your standard of living the number three key for a happier retirement I want you to accept that you're in the distribution phase don't expect your accounts to continue to grow each and every single year this may seem like common sense but in reality and in practice it's much harder for many people to do now you've seen your accounts hopefully grow grow grow you've been putting money in the market has performed well over most years in the past even when the market performed poorly you are still putting money into your 401k getting that match hopefully saving money elsewhere now that you're in the retirement phase you're putting a lot of stress on your portfolio through distributions now I'm not saying your accounts can't still continue to accumulate especially if we have consecutive years in the market that that does really really well but what I'm saying is don't expect it you are in the distribution phase that means you're probably taking three percent four percent five percent out when we have years where the market is also down your portfolio is down you're digging a bigger hole than you were in the accumulation phase that means that hole is harder and harder to climb out of this is why the allocation of your Investments is so important and not taking too much risk you don't want to dig such a big hole that you can never get out but at the same time you need a certain level of risk to achieve a return that can give you a Secure Retirement so mentally let's not look at our accounts every single year and say oh man they're not going up they're not increasing in value I'm going to run out I need to stop spending my money now actually if you look at it appropriately you should not expect your accounts to continue to appreciate every single year in retirement that very May well happen but if it doesn't if you're just staying level or even going down a little bit it's okay you just need to have a plan monitor your progress with respect to your goals and stay on top of it number four I want you to understand the value of secure income in retirement the more secure income you have the less you have to withdraw from your portfolio and the less emotionally you're impacted by the stock market ups and downs by political goings on by economic slow Downs if you don't have to withdraw large percentages from your Investments because you're living on passive income from Real Estate from Social Security from annuities from a pension but the point is the more income you have coming in from multiple different places that is independent of the stock market going up typically the happier you'll be in retirement also I don't want you to underestimate the power of Social Security as part of your overall retirement income plan now I hear a lot of people making comments on some of the Social Security videos that we do and also just day to day having conversations with clients that Social Security seems to be an extremely underestimated part of retirement many people want to take it early and that may be the case maybe it makes sense for you to take it early but if a husband and wife have combined Social Security of 60 000 a year and you live let's say 25 years that's 600 000 1.2 1.5 million dollars of retirement income and for many of you watch watching this your Social Security is going to be a lot more than sixty thousand dollars per year so we're talking anywhere from one million to possibly over three million dollars of retirement income for a married couple for someone who's single Social Security you can just basically cut that in half so it's a significant part don't underestimate the power of secure sources of income in retirement and also don't underestimate how valuable deferring Social Security could potentially be if you're going to live past age 80 81 or so number five I would like you to stop looking at short-term outcomes whether your portfolio is up or down whether you pull too much out whether you had an unforeseen expense and you had to spend x amount of dollars I'd like you to start looking at these short-term outcomes of things that happen to you or decisions that you've made as nothing more than bumps in the road don't get too high don't get too low retirement is a very long and windy and arduous Journey this is why it's so important to have a plan and stay connected to that because when you have visibility into the future and you're looking at things not in the short term lens but over a 20 25 30 year time frame you can see a lot of times how actually unimportant these short-term events are so don't get too high don't get too low understand that these are bumps in the road in the short term but if you have a plan these bumps in the road have been accounted for next time the Market's down and your portfolio is down 10 or 12 or 15 or more say you know what I have a plan I expected this to happen this is not a surprise and retirement is a very long journey this is nothing more than a bump in the road the number six key to a happier retirement and I know this is going to be virtually impossible for many of you watching but the number six key probably the number one is to not look at your accounts more than once a month I would prefer it once a quarter so I know some of you right now are saying Troy that's impossible I look at it every single day I need to know what my stocks are doing what my accounts are doing how am I ever going to know if I'm going to be okay well there are numerous studies on this I encourage you to look some of them up the more frequently you look at your accounts typically the worst performance you'll have over long periods of time but the person who looks at it every single day over a long period of time I think it's 25 or 30 years averages somewhere around two to three percent per year the person who looks at it once a month averages somewhere around four to five the person who looks at it once a year averages somewhere around six to seven and the person who never looks at it has averaged around 10 or 11 percent and it makes sense because we are emotional beings when we see that something isn't going right we want to Tinker we want to make adjustments this typically leads to holding on to bad Investments maybe a little bit too long or getting rid of good Investments that just haven't really had the Catalyst that maybe you were expecting and selling them too soon or we're selling our winners and cutting our losers without giving them a chance to really perform well whatever the situation may be Studies have proven this over and over again the more frequently you look at your portfolio the worse you should expect to do so instead of discussing strategy and execution in today's video hopefully today's content helps shift your perspective just a little bit with the goal of helping you to have a happier retirement [Music] foreign [Music]

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Retirement: I’m 60 Years Old with $900K in Savings. Can I Retire Now? What is My Risk Capacity?

so you're 60 years old with nine hundred thousand dollars saved and the question is can you retire in today's video we're going to look at a few different decisions that could be made the impact those decisions have on the plan with the overall goal of not running out of money hi I'm Troy sharp CEO of Oak Harvest Financial Group a certified financial planner professional host of the retirement income show and a certified tax specialist in today's case study we're going to look at a situation that's not too dissimilar from what we normally encounter in our day-to-day operations here at Oak Harvest Financial Group so we have James who's 60 years old he comes in and he says Troy I want to spend about seventy thousand dollars and I'm just tired of working I want to to this year to be my last year so I want to spend seventy thousand dollars I think I'm going to live to about 90 years old pretty good health and I want this fifty thousand dollars to increase with inflation over the course of my retirement but for the first 10 years and what I hear you talk about in this go go spending phase I want to spend an additional 20 000 per year bringing that first 10 years of spending up to 70 000 per year then that go go spending goes away and then we have the inflation adjusted 50 000 to plan for from age 70 to age 90.

Hey just a brief Interruption here to ask you to subscribe to the channel now what that does for you is that puts us Oak Harvest Financial Group and all the content we produce in your little TV Guide so you have a much easier way to come back and find it later share this video with a friend or family member and also comment down below I love to respond to the comments now if you have any questions about your particular situation or you'd like to consider becoming a client of Oak Harvest feel free to reach out to us there's a link in the description below but you can always reach out to us and give us a call and have a conversation to see if we might be a good fit for each other James tells us that since he wants to retire as soon as possible he he thinks it makes sense to take Social Security the first time available so claiming at 62 a little more than two thousand dollars a month at twenty five thousand dollars per year he also has that nine hundred thousand dollars broken out to four 401K money of 700 Grand then 200 000 in a taxable account or what we call non-qualified outside of the retirement account very important to point out here that the tax characteristic of these two accounts and the Investments inside them and the interest and dividends and the withdrawals from them are taxed differently so that's part of an overall tax plan now James also has a home that's completely paid for and worth six hundred thousand dollars but he's told me that I don't want to use this to fund any of my retirement goals I've lived in this home for a long time I want to stay in the home but we know from a planning perspective that we do have that in our back pocket if it's needed down the road so James's total net worth here is about 1.5 million looking at the paid off home of six hundred thousand the 700 Grand inside the 401K and the 200 000 of non-qualified or taxable account assets now as part of the process to understand where someone is and where they're trying to get to we have to understand how is the portfolio currently allocated so James tells us that Troy I know I've wanted to retire so I've been investing aggressively and trying to get ahead of the game but here we are in 2022 and the markets have pulled back some so that double-edged sword is starting to kind of rear its rear its head but we see James's 93 stock so one of the questions that we have from an internal planning perspective is if we keep this same level of risk while we retire and start taking income out of the portfolio what does that do for what we call the risk capacity or the portfolio's ability to take on risk while Distributing income in the retirement phase so we have to look at the guard rails and guard rails are essentially a statistical calculation of probabilities of the portfolio returning this much on the high side and a good year and this much on the downside in a bad year if these guard rails are too far apart and we're taking in income out if we run into a bad couple of years that bump up against that bottom guardrail but we significantly increase the risk of running out of money so part of the analysis of the planning is is this an appropriate guard rail for this type of portfolio given the desired income level so with everything we've looked at so far the question is if James continues doing what he's currently doing and retires with the desired spending level the assets that he's accumulated living until age 90 what is the probability that he has success well it comes in at about 61 so that's probably not a good retirement number it's something we want to see if we can work to improve so I'm going to pull up the what if analysis here and start to look at some of these different decisions that we could make and see if we can get this probability to increase okay so now we have the what if analysis where we have two different columns up here on the board right now they're identical we're going to keep this one the same as the base case everything that we just went through but now we're going to start to change some of these variables to see what the impact those decisions have on the overall retirement plan and this is much more of an art at this stage than it is a science because we want to start to explore different scenarios and then see what is most comfortable for you once you understand the impact of these different decisions you can take some time to kind of way think about them weigh the the pros and cons and now we're starting to work together to craft you a retirement plan that gives us increased probabilities of success but also something that you feel very very comfortable with so the first couple of options we have which are the most simple and usually have the biggest impact on the plan is that we can either work longer or spend less so James says no I don't want to spend less I have a specific plan I want to get my RV I want to travel the country I want to play some golf I've done my budget I need to spend that 70 000 for the first 10 years so the first thing we'll look at is the impact of working another couple of years so I've changed the age here to 63 as far as Retirement the only variable we're going to change at this time I don't want to change too many variables at once I want to see the impact of different decisions how they impact the overall plan okay so that gives us a bit of an increase but the next thing I want to look at here is social security so Social Security is a very valuable source of guaranteed lifetime income first it's an increasing stream of income it increases with inflation but two no matter what happens with the stock market that income is always going to be coming in so instead of taking the 62 and having a significant reduction in the lifetime income that we receive because I don't want to change spending we still have the 50 and 20 in here I want to change the Social Security from taking it a 62 to taking it at full retirement age okay so changing the Social Security election day gets us up to 76 we're definitely moving in the right direction here after a conversation with James and he realizing that you know what I do feel really secure with that increased social security income because if the market doesn't cooperate I know I'm still going to have that much higher income later in life so that would lead us down the road to say okay let's look at adding more guaranteed lifetime income if we can get your Baseline income to cover a majority of your spending needs then we don't need the market to perform necessarily as well later in life so now we want to look at the impact of adding more guaranteed income to the plan which has the effect of providing more security later in life because if the markets don't cooperate we know we have a certain level of income being deposited every single month no matter how long we live so if you go to our website here it's Oak harvestfinancialgroup.com com we have up top an income writer quote where this is constantly searching for the highest amounts of guaranteed lifetime income that are available in the marketplace simply input the variables here so in Texas age 60 Ira money income starts we're going to start looking at seven years here and I know the dollar amount I would want to put in 300 000.

The good news here is you can input any of these different variables we don't ask for your information so it's a calculator tool that you can play with on your own Single Life payout and we get quote okay so here's the output screen we have all of these different companies over here when you see the same company twice it's because that company offers multiple different products with the same income Rider so an income writer is just an addendum or an attachment to a contract that guarantees no matter what the stock market does a certain amount of Lifetime income based on the specifications you input so about thirty three thousand dollars here so that's about 11 percent of the initial deposit with that income starting in year seven this is why we call it a deferred income annuity because it gets a guaranteed growth to calculate a guaranteed lifetime income that you then would incorporate into your plan so in this what-if analysis we come down here we I've already inputted so three hundred thousand dollars and then we just calculate these scenarios okay now we're up to 87 percent here so now things are starting to look a little bit better let's make a couple of different adjustments here because remember when I talked about the guard rails that's too aggressive of a portfolio given the income need especially in the beginning years but now that we've added some deferred income into the plan the portfolio's capacity for risk increases later in life and all that means is because there's so much income coming in the portfolio can withstand a bit more volatility later once Social Security and the Deferred income annuity kick on because you're needing to take less from the portfolio so let's make a couple more adjustments here so after retirement we don't want to keep the the current investment strategy let's get a little bit more conservative here go from an aggressive plan to something a little bit more conservative and then you know what let's also say now that we're starting to move in the right direction instead of retiring at 63 what happens if we retire at 62.

Get your retired one year earlier than some of these other numbers okay now we're at 83 percent retiring at 62. I want to look at one more variable here because you may want to get a part-time job James may want to be a starter at a golf course maybe he wants to work in the church and he can get ten thousand or fifteen thousand dollars a year maybe just wants to work two three months out of the year so the next thing I want to look at is if we've done all this now what happens if during this first 10 years of retirement he decides he wants to work three months out of the year or maybe just a part-time job and work one or two days a week so instead of needing twenty thousand dollars per year we just need another ten thousand let's say from the portfolio so really that's only earning ten thousand dollars extra in retirement income you could do that driving Uber many different choices there you know what I'm just going to decrease this no I'll leave it there now with James deciding to maybe work part-time here to reduce that spending need in the first 10 years let's see if we can also get them retired at 61.

Okay so now James has decided that working part-time and hey we're talking 10 grand here so this isn't a lot of money now I want to see what happens if we go back to the original goal that James had of retiring as soon as possible at age 61. so we're going to change this back to his original goal 61 calculate all scenarios and now this gets us up to 94 so we started at 61 if where James was originally at whenever he came in if he kept doing whatever he was already doing we got him up to 94 percent here okay I want to take a minute before we finish the final Concept in this video to discuss some of the adjustments we've made so far to get James from 61 to 94 so first and foremost we adjusted the Social Security election strategy secondly we added that deferred income annuity thirdly James has decided to work part-time to generate ten thousand dollars per year in those beginning years to help reduce the burden of taking out an additional twenty thousand dollars of retirement income and then finally we've brought the guardrails in on the Investment Portfolio which helps to eliminate very bad outcomes that could happen with his original 93 allocation to stocks we haven't totally went to bonds or cash we've just brought those guard rails in by reducing our Equity exposure in the beginning years of retirement we can always adjust that later now last thing I want to do is look at what we call the combined details all of these things together in a spreadsheet just so we can see how these different pieces are working together and then look at what we call different Monte Carlo analyzes so now I want to share with you some of the individual trial analysis that we run just like we would for a normal client to help identify not only where the weak spots are in the portfolio but how these different decisions that we're making impact the overall client balance and it's not just looking at what we call an average rate of return it's looking at a thousand different simulations we're going to look at a couple here and the Order of the return so check out the video if you want to understand more about this concept you can click the link up above and the title of the video is how eleven percent average returns could destroy your retirement and that'll really get home that concept of it's not about what you average but it's about the order in which you realize returns over the course of your retirement during the day distribution phase so here we have this individual trial and we're gonna it's the median scenario out of a thousand different scenarios so I just want to go through this fairly quickly with you and based on some of the adjustments to the portfolio we see the investment return column here so all of this I think averaged out to I think it was about four and a half percent gross returns I can go back and double check that in a second but you see it's it's never four four four four four four four four or six six six six this is what it looks like in the real world so James retires essentially the beginning of 2023 we have the Deferred income annuity clicking on here we've changed Social Security to click on here so if we add these two together come heck or high water there will be minimally 74 000 almost 75 000 deposited into his bank account every single year now if we look at the retirement need it's about sixty one thousand dollars plus the discretionary Go-Go spending is about twelve thousand two ninety nine so about seventy three thousand dollars but what this does is because we're getting so much from these two sources it really reduces the need for the portfolio to perform and if we kind of go out go on out through retirement you see Social Security isn't increasing income so later in life now we're up to about 89 almost 90 000 of income and our ninety thousand dollars inflation adjusted retirement income need is covered by the amount of guaranteed lifetime income that we have in the portfolio which then allows our portfolio balances to stabilize because we're not needing it to support our lifestyle later in life so this is just one example here but we see the ending portfolio value even though it spends down a little bit in the beginning years okay it starts to stabilize because the income provided from the decisions that we've made put us in a situation where we don't have to withdraw so much from the portfolio Okay so now I want to look at a different trial and just to confirm here the 500th scenario was an average of 4.6 but you saw the different order of those returns and how we actually got to 4.6 okay so if we slide this up here let's assume it's a pretty bad scenario this is going to let me change it here find a worse return okay so this brings the average down to 3.05 and we still see in bar graph form here that the portfolio value still is stabilized and it's primarily because that change in the Social Security decision and adding the Deferred income annuity it still puts us into that position to where if the market doesn't perform we have enough income from guaranteed sources that we're not dependent on the stock market to provide us income in retirement especially later in life when we typically are more conservative and most people that I've worked with don't have the same stomach at 80 or 82 to stay invested in Big Market pullbacks as they did when they were 52 or 62.

Now what I want to show you is the comparison to what we just looked at in the individual trial analysis to the original plan that came in at 61 percent with all the original inputs so if James just wanted to retire not go see anyone make any adjustments I want to show you what that looks like on the individual trial analysis so remember in this scenario we kept Social Security at 62 no job so the spending stayed at seventy thousand twenty thousand was that go go spending no change to the portfolio so we still have the aggressive portfolio which brings in the possibility of some pretty bad outcomes and no deferred income annuity here to help stabilize the income generation later in life as well as the volatility impact on the portfolio so when we when we look at this so here we go um had James has a 900 000.

You see we have none of the annuity income here Social Security starts out at about 26 000 for him a little more than two thousand a month now look at the investment returns here because it's a more aggressive portfolio the range the guard rails are increased here and then finally the spending we have the fifty thousand plus twenty thousand increasing for inflation with the Go-Go lasting 10 years so in the first 10 years of retirement we see things are going pretty well even at this spending level because we have some pretty good returns in here even though we have a couple bad years but what happens is the income because of inflation the income need increases later in life and we see it really just takes a couple of bad years here minus 21 minus 12 we go from a million to 755 and then it's pretty much all downhill from there in this particular scenario running out of income except for Social Security which is now only up to about forty four thousand dollars per year compared to the other plan with the Deferred Social Security so full retirement age and the Deferred income annuity we were at I wanted to say it was around 85 88 000 um of income not dependent on the stock market here we're only at 45 in the mid 80s so that means we have to take more out of the portfolio so it's more susceptible to bad returns later in retirement now the big takeaway here is this is what a good retirement planner does it's not necessarily about the investment returns it's about determining how much money you should have in the market when you should take Social Security we didn't even get into taxes here additional benefits could be provided through tax planning but what you should do with taxes and identifying those spending goals and those needs in order to get you retired and stay retired and then staying connected to this plan over time that's what a good retirement advisor does it's not about outperforming the market it's about finding a plan that gets you and keeps you retired just a brief reminder here to subscribe to the channel now what that does is that puts us in your TV Guide here on YouTube so it doesn't cost anything but if you subscribe to the channel you can come back to us much more easily down the road make sure to comment down below and also share this video with a friend or family member that you think could benefit from what we're talking about today [Music] foreign

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Retirement: I’m 60 Years Old with $900K in Savings. Can I Retire Now? What is My Risk Capacity?

so you're 60 years old with nine hundred thousand dollars saved and the question is can you retire in today's video we're going to look at a few different decisions that could be made the impact those decisions have on the plan with the overall goal of not running out of money hi I'm Troy sharp CEO of Oak Harvest Financial Group a certified financial planner professional host of the retirement income show and a certified tax specialist in today's case study we're going to look at a situation that's not too dissimilar from what we normally encounter in our day-to-day operations here at Oak Harvest Financial Group so we have James who's 60 years old he comes in and he says Troy I want to spend about seventy thousand dollars and I'm just tired of working I want to to this year to be my last year so I want to spend seventy thousand dollars I think I'm going to live to about 90 years old pretty good health and I want this fifty thousand dollars to increase with inflation over the course of my retirement but for the first 10 years and what I hear you talk about in this go go spending phase I want to spend an additional 20 000 per year bringing that first 10 years of spending up to 70 000 per year then that go go spending goes away and then we have the inflation adjusted 50 000 to plan for from age 70 to age 90.

Hey just a brief Interruption here to ask you to subscribe to the channel now what that does for you is that puts us Oak Harvest Financial Group and all the content we produce in your little TV Guide so you have a much easier way to come back and find it later share this video with a friend or family member and also comment down below I love to respond to the comments now if you have any questions about your particular situation or you'd like to consider becoming a client of Oak Harvest feel free to reach out to us there's a link in the description below but you can always reach out to us and give us a call and have a conversation to see if we might be a good fit for each other James tells us that since he wants to retire as soon as possible he he thinks it makes sense to take Social Security the first time available so claiming at 62 a little more than two thousand dollars a month at twenty five thousand dollars per year he also has that nine hundred thousand dollars broken out to four 401K money of 700 Grand then 200 000 in a taxable account or what we call non-qualified outside of the retirement account very important to point out here that the tax characteristic of these two accounts and the Investments inside them and the interest and dividends and the withdrawals from them are taxed differently so that's part of an overall tax plan now James also has a home that's completely paid for and worth six hundred thousand dollars but he's told me that I don't want to use this to fund any of my retirement goals I've lived in this home for a long time I want to stay in the home but we know from a planning perspective that we do have that in our back pocket if it's needed down the road so James's total net worth here is about 1.5 million looking at the paid off home of six hundred thousand the 700 Grand inside the 401K and the 200 000 of non-qualified or taxable account assets now as part of the process to understand where someone is and where they're trying to get to we have to understand how is the portfolio currently allocated so James tells us that Troy I know I've wanted to retire so I've been investing aggressively and trying to get ahead of the game but here we are in 2022 and the markets have pulled back some so that double-edged sword is starting to kind of rear its rear its head but we see James's 93 stock so one of the questions that we have from an internal planning perspective is if we keep this same level of risk while we retire and start taking income out of the portfolio what does that do for what we call the risk capacity or the portfolio's ability to take on risk while Distributing income in the retirement phase so we have to look at the guard rails and guard rails are essentially a statistical calculation of probabilities of the portfolio returning this much on the high side and a good year and this much on the downside in a bad year if these guard rails are too far apart and we're taking in income out if we run into a bad couple of years that bump up against that bottom guardrail but we significantly increase the risk of running out of money so part of the analysis of the planning is is this an appropriate guard rail for this type of portfolio given the desired income level so with everything we've looked at so far the question is if James continues doing what he's currently doing and retires with the desired spending level the assets that he's accumulated living until age 90 what is the probability that he has success well it comes in at about 61 so that's probably not a good retirement number it's something we want to see if we can work to improve so I'm going to pull up the what if analysis here and start to look at some of these different decisions that we could make and see if we can get this probability to increase okay so now we have the what if analysis where we have two different columns up here on the board right now they're identical we're going to keep this one the same as the base case everything that we just went through but now we're going to start to change some of these variables to see what the impact those decisions have on the overall retirement plan and this is much more of an art at this stage than it is a science because we want to start to explore different scenarios and then see what is most comfortable for you once you understand the impact of these different decisions you can take some time to kind of way think about them weigh the the pros and cons and now we're starting to work together to craft you a retirement plan that gives us increased probabilities of success but also something that you feel very very comfortable with so the first couple of options we have which are the most simple and usually have the biggest impact on the plan is that we can either work longer or spend less so James says no I don't want to spend less I have a specific plan I want to get my RV I want to travel the country I want to play some golf I've done my budget I need to spend that 70 000 for the first 10 years so the first thing we'll look at is the impact of working another couple of years so I've changed the age here to 63 as far as Retirement the only variable we're going to change at this time I don't want to change too many variables at once I want to see the impact of different decisions how they impact the overall plan okay so that gives us a bit of an increase but the next thing I want to look at here is social security so Social Security is a very valuable source of guaranteed lifetime income first it's an increasing stream of income it increases with inflation but two no matter what happens with the stock market that income is always going to be coming in so instead of taking the 62 and having a significant reduction in the lifetime income that we receive because I don't want to change spending we still have the 50 and 20 in here I want to change the Social Security from taking it a 62 to taking it at full retirement age okay so changing the Social Security election day gets us up to 76 we're definitely moving in the right direction here after a conversation with James and he realizing that you know what I do feel really secure with that increased social security income because if the market doesn't cooperate I know I'm still going to have that much higher income later in life so that would lead us down the road to say okay let's look at adding more guaranteed lifetime income if we can get your Baseline income to cover a majority of your spending needs then we don't need the market to perform necessarily as well later in life so now we want to look at the impact of adding more guaranteed income to the plan which has the effect of providing more security later in life because if the markets don't cooperate we know we have a certain level of income being deposited every single month no matter how long we live so if you go to our website here it's Oak harvestfinancialgroup.com com we have up top an income writer quote where this is constantly searching for the highest amounts of guaranteed lifetime income that are available in the marketplace simply input the variables here so in Texas age 60 Ira money income starts we're going to start looking at seven years here and I know the dollar amount I would want to put in 300 000.

The good news here is you can input any of these different variables we don't ask for your information so it's a calculator tool that you can play with on your own Single Life payout and we get quote okay so here's the output screen we have all of these different companies over here when you see the same company twice it's because that company offers multiple different products with the same income Rider so an income writer is just an addendum or an attachment to a contract that guarantees no matter what the stock market does a certain amount of Lifetime income based on the specifications you input so about thirty three thousand dollars here so that's about 11 percent of the initial deposit with that income starting in year seven this is why we call it a deferred income annuity because it gets a guaranteed growth to calculate a guaranteed lifetime income that you then would incorporate into your plan so in this what-if analysis we come down here we I've already inputted so three hundred thousand dollars and then we just calculate these scenarios okay now we're up to 87 percent here so now things are starting to look a little bit better let's make a couple of different adjustments here because remember when I talked about the guard rails that's too aggressive of a portfolio given the income need especially in the beginning years but now that we've added some deferred income into the plan the portfolio's capacity for risk increases later in life and all that means is because there's so much income coming in the portfolio can withstand a bit more volatility later once Social Security and the Deferred income annuity kick on because you're needing to take less from the portfolio so let's make a couple more adjustments here so after retirement we don't want to keep the the current investment strategy let's get a little bit more conservative here go from an aggressive plan to something a little bit more conservative and then you know what let's also say now that we're starting to move in the right direction instead of retiring at 63 what happens if we retire at 62.

Get your retired one year earlier than some of these other numbers okay now we're at 83 percent retiring at 62. I want to look at one more variable here because you may want to get a part-time job James may want to be a starter at a golf course maybe he wants to work in the church and he can get ten thousand or fifteen thousand dollars a year maybe just wants to work two three months out of the year so the next thing I want to look at is if we've done all this now what happens if during this first 10 years of retirement he decides he wants to work three months out of the year or maybe just a part-time job and work one or two days a week so instead of needing twenty thousand dollars per year we just need another ten thousand let's say from the portfolio so really that's only earning ten thousand dollars extra in retirement income you could do that driving Uber many different choices there you know what I'm just going to decrease this no I'll leave it there now with James deciding to maybe work part-time here to reduce that spending need in the first 10 years let's see if we can also get them retired at 61.

Okay so now James has decided that working part-time and hey we're talking 10 grand here so this isn't a lot of money now I want to see what happens if we go back to the original goal that James had of retiring as soon as possible at age 61. so we're going to change this back to his original goal 61 calculate all scenarios and now this gets us up to 94 so we started at 61 if where James was originally at whenever he came in if he kept doing whatever he was already doing we got him up to 94 percent here okay I want to take a minute before we finish the final Concept in this video to discuss some of the adjustments we've made so far to get James from 61 to 94 so first and foremost we adjusted the Social Security election strategy secondly we added that deferred income annuity thirdly James has decided to work part-time to generate ten thousand dollars per year in those beginning years to help reduce the burden of taking out an additional twenty thousand dollars of retirement income and then finally we've brought the guardrails in on the Investment Portfolio which helps to eliminate very bad outcomes that could happen with his original 93 allocation to stocks we haven't totally went to bonds or cash we've just brought those guard rails in by reducing our Equity exposure in the beginning years of retirement we can always adjust that later now last thing I want to do is look at what we call the combined details all of these things together in a spreadsheet just so we can see how these different pieces are working together and then look at what we call different Monte Carlo analyzes so now I want to share with you some of the individual trial analysis that we run just like we would for a normal client to help identify not only where the weak spots are in the portfolio but how these different decisions that we're making impact the overall client balance and it's not just looking at what we call an average rate of return it's looking at a thousand different simulations we're going to look at a couple here and the Order of the return so check out the video if you want to understand more about this concept you can click the link up above and the title of the video is how eleven percent average returns could destroy your retirement and that'll really get home that concept of it's not about what you average but it's about the order in which you realize returns over the course of your retirement during the day distribution phase so here we have this individual trial and we're gonna it's the median scenario out of a thousand different scenarios so I just want to go through this fairly quickly with you and based on some of the adjustments to the portfolio we see the investment return column here so all of this I think averaged out to I think it was about four and a half percent gross returns I can go back and double check that in a second but you see it's it's never four four four four four four four four or six six six six this is what it looks like in the real world so James retires essentially the beginning of 2023 we have the Deferred income annuity clicking on here we've changed Social Security to click on here so if we add these two together come heck or high water there will be minimally 74 000 almost 75 000 deposited into his bank account every single year now if we look at the retirement need it's about sixty one thousand dollars plus the discretionary Go-Go spending is about twelve thousand two ninety nine so about seventy three thousand dollars but what this does is because we're getting so much from these two sources it really reduces the need for the portfolio to perform and if we kind of go out go on out through retirement you see Social Security isn't increasing income so later in life now we're up to about 89 almost 90 000 of income and our ninety thousand dollars inflation adjusted retirement income need is covered by the amount of guaranteed lifetime income that we have in the portfolio which then allows our portfolio balances to stabilize because we're not needing it to support our lifestyle later in life so this is just one example here but we see the ending portfolio value even though it spends down a little bit in the beginning years okay it starts to stabilize because the income provided from the decisions that we've made put us in a situation where we don't have to withdraw so much from the portfolio Okay so now I want to look at a different trial and just to confirm here the 500th scenario was an average of 4.6 but you saw the different order of those returns and how we actually got to 4.6 okay so if we slide this up here let's assume it's a pretty bad scenario this is going to let me change it here find a worse return okay so this brings the average down to 3.05 and we still see in bar graph form here that the portfolio value still is stabilized and it's primarily because that change in the Social Security decision and adding the Deferred income annuity it still puts us into that position to where if the market doesn't perform we have enough income from guaranteed sources that we're not dependent on the stock market to provide us income in retirement especially later in life when we typically are more conservative and most people that I've worked with don't have the same stomach at 80 or 82 to stay invested in Big Market pullbacks as they did when they were 52 or 62.

Now what I want to show you is the comparison to what we just looked at in the individual trial analysis to the original plan that came in at 61 percent with all the original inputs so if James just wanted to retire not go see anyone make any adjustments I want to show you what that looks like on the individual trial analysis so remember in this scenario we kept Social Security at 62 no job so the spending stayed at seventy thousand twenty thousand was that go go spending no change to the portfolio so we still have the aggressive portfolio which brings in the possibility of some pretty bad outcomes and no deferred income annuity here to help stabilize the income generation later in life as well as the volatility impact on the portfolio so when we when we look at this so here we go um had James has a 900 000.

You see we have none of the annuity income here Social Security starts out at about 26 000 for him a little more than two thousand a month now look at the investment returns here because it's a more aggressive portfolio the range the guard rails are increased here and then finally the spending we have the fifty thousand plus twenty thousand increasing for inflation with the Go-Go lasting 10 years so in the first 10 years of retirement we see things are going pretty well even at this spending level because we have some pretty good returns in here even though we have a couple bad years but what happens is the income because of inflation the income need increases later in life and we see it really just takes a couple of bad years here minus 21 minus 12 we go from a million to 755 and then it's pretty much all downhill from there in this particular scenario running out of income except for Social Security which is now only up to about forty four thousand dollars per year compared to the other plan with the Deferred Social Security so full retirement age and the Deferred income annuity we were at I wanted to say it was around 85 88 000 um of income not dependent on the stock market here we're only at 45 in the mid 80s so that means we have to take more out of the portfolio so it's more susceptible to bad returns later in retirement now the big takeaway here is this is what a good retirement planner does it's not necessarily about the investment returns it's about determining how much money you should have in the market when you should take Social Security we didn't even get into taxes here additional benefits could be provided through tax planning but what you should do with taxes and identifying those spending goals and those needs in order to get you retired and stay retired and then staying connected to this plan over time that's what a good retirement advisor does it's not about outperforming the market it's about finding a plan that gets you and keeps you retired just a brief reminder here to subscribe to the channel now what that does is that puts us in your TV Guide here on YouTube so it doesn't cost anything but if you subscribe to the channel you can come back to us much more easily down the road make sure to comment down below and also share this video with a friend or family member that you think could benefit from what we're talking about today [Music] foreign

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Retirement: I’m 60 Years Old with $900K in Savings. Can I Retire Now? What is My Risk Capacity?

Hey simply a short Disturbance right here to ask you to subscribe to the channel now what that does for you is that places us Oak Harvest Financial Team and also all the material we produce in your little TV Overview so you have a much simpler means to come back and find it later share this video with a good friend or family participant and likewise comment down below I enjoy to respond to the comments now if you have any concerns concerning your particular circumstance or you'' d like to consider ending up being a client of Oak Harvest really feel complimentary to get to out to us there'' s a link in the summary listed below however you can always reach out to us and also provide us a call and have a discussion to see if we may be a great fit for each various other James informs us that given that he desires to retire as quickly as feasible he he thinks it makes sense to take Social Protection the very first time readily available so declaring at 62 a little even more than two thousand dollars a month at twenty five thousand dollars per year he additionally has that nine hundred thousand bucks damaged out to 4 401K money of 700 Grand after that 200 000 in a taxable account or what we call non-qualified outside of the retired life account extremely vital to aim out below that the tax characteristic of these two accounts and the Investments inside them as well as the rate of interest and also dividends as well as the withdrawals from them are taxed in different ways so that'' s component of a total tax obligation plan currently James also has a residence that ' s totally paid for and also worth six hundred thousand dollars yet he'' s told me that I put on'' t desire to utilize this to fund any of my retirement goals I'' ve lived in this residence for a long time I desire to remain in the residence however we understand from a preparation point of view that we do have that in our back pocket if it'' s needed down the roadway so James'' s overall web worth right here is about 1.5 million looking at the paid off house of 6 hundred thousand the 700 Grand inside the 401K and the 200 000 of non-qualified or taxable account properties currently as part of the process to comprehend where somebody is and where they'' re attempting to get to we have to understand just how is the profile currently alloted so James informs us that Troy I understand I'' ve wanted to retire so I'' ve been spending boldy and attempting to get in advance of the game yet here we are in 2022 as well as the markets have actually pulled back some so that double-edged sword is starting to kind of back its back its head yet we see James'' s 93 supply so one of the concerns that we have from an inner planning perspective is if we maintain this very same degree of threat while we retire and begin taking revenue out of the profile what does that do for what we call the risk capacity or the profile'' s ability to take on danger while Distributing revenue in the retired life phase so we have to look at the guard rails as well as guard rails are essentially an analytical calculation of likelihoods of the portfolio returning this much on the high side and also a great year and also this much on the drawback in a poor year if these guard rails are as well far apart and also we'' re taking in income out if we run right into a bad pair of years that bump up against that bottom guardrail however we dramatically raise the risk of running out of cash so part of the analysis of the planning is is this a proper guard rail for this kind of profile given the preferred revenue level so with every little thing we'' ve looked at so much the question is if James continues doing what he'' s presently doing and also retires with the desired investing degree the possessions that he'' s gathered living until age 90 what is the likelihood that he has success well it comes in at regarding 61 so that'' s possibly not a great retirement number it'' s something we want to see if we can function to boost so I ' m going to pull up the what if evaluation here as well as start to look at some of these different decisions that we might make and also see if we can obtain this probability to enhance all right so currently we have the what if evaluation where we have 2 different columns up right here on the board right currently they'' re similar we ' re going to maintain this one the same as the base situation every little thing that we simply went via however now we'' re going to begin to change some of these variables to see what the impact those choices have on the total retired life strategy and this is much even more of an art at this phase than it is a scientific research due to the fact that we want to begin to check out different situations and also then see what is most comfortable for you once you comprehend the effect of these various decisions you can take some time to kind of method assume about them evaluate the the pros and disadvantages and also now we'' re beginning to work with each other to craft you a retired life plan that provides us boosted likelihoods of success however also something that you feel really really comfy with so the first couple of choices we have which are the most easy as well as typically have the biggest effect on the strategy is that we can either function longer or invest much less so James states no I wear'' t desire to spend less I have a specific plan I desire to get my Recreational vehicle I desire to travel the nation I want to play some golf I'' ve done my spending plan I need to invest that 70 000 for the first 10 years so the initial thing we'' ll appearance at is the influence of functioning another couple of years so I'' ve altered the age right here to 63 as much as Retirement the only variable we'' re going to alter at this time I don'' t want to transform as well lots of variables at once I want to see the influence of different choices exactly how they affect the general plan alright so that gives us a little bit of an increase however the following point I desire to look at right here is social safety and security so Social Safety is a really beneficial resource of guaranteed lifetime earnings initially it'' s a raising stream of earnings it increases with rising cost of living but two no matter what takes place with the stock market that earnings is always going to be coming in so rather of taking the 62 and also having a substantial decrease in the life time income that we receive due to the fact that I don'' t want to transform investing we still have the 50 and also 20 in below I desire to transform the Social Safety and security from taking it a 62 to taking it at full retired life age all right so altering the Social Security election day gets us up to 76 we'' re certainly moving in the best instructions right here after a discussion with James as well as he understanding that you recognize what I do feel truly safe and secure with that enhanced social security revenue due to the fact that if the market doesn'' t comply I'recognize I ' m still going to have that a lot greater revenue later on in life so that would certainly lead us down the roadway to say fine let'' s look at adding extra guaranteed lifetime earnings if we can obtain your Baseline income to cover a majority of your spending requires after that we put on'' t require the market to carry out necessarily as well later in life so now we desire to look at the effect of adding more surefire earnings to the strategy which has the effect of providing even more safety later on in life because if the markets put on'' t coordinate we know we have a specific level of revenue being deposited every single month no matter exactly how long we live so if you go to our web site here it'' s Oak harvestfinancialgroup.com com we have up leading an income author quote where this is continuously looking for the highest possible amounts of assured life time earnings that are available in the industry simply input the variables here so in Texas age 60 Individual retirement account money income starts we ' re going to start looking at seven years below and I recognize the buck quantity I would certainly desire to place in 300 000. I want to look at one more variable right here since you may want to get a part-time job James might want to be a starter at a golf course perhaps he wants to work in the church and he can get ten thousand or fifteen thousand dollars a year maybe just desires to function 2 3 months out of the year so the next point I want to look at is if we ' ve done all this now what occurs if throughout this very first 10 years of retirement he chooses he desires to function 3 months out of the year or maybe simply a part-time work as well as work one or 2 days a week so instead of needing twenty thousand dollars per year we simply need another 10 thousand allowed ' s say from the profile so actually that ' s just gaining ten thousand bucks extra in retired life income you might do that driving Uber many various selections there you understand what I ' m just going to reduce this no I ' ll leave it there now with James deciding to perhaps work part-time right here to reduce that investing demand in the initial 10 years allow ' s see if we can likewise get them retired at 61. We'' re going to transform this back to his original objective 61 determine all situations as well as now this gets us up to 94 so we started at 61 if where James was originally at whenever he came in if he maintained doing whatever he was currently doing we obtained him up to 94 percent below alright I desire to take a minute before we finish the last Concept in this video clip to discuss some of the modifications we ' ve made so much to get James from 61 to 94 so initial and also primary we readjusted the Social Safety and security election strategy second of all we included that deferred earnings annuity thirdly James has chosen to work part-time to produce ten thousand dollars per year in those beginning years to help reduce the concern of taking out an extra twenty thousand dollars of retired life revenue and after that finally we ' ve brought the guardrails in on the Financial investment Portfolio which helps to remove extremely bad end results that might happen with his initial 93 allotment to supplies we haven ' t entirely went to bonds or cash we ' ve simply brought those guard rails in by decreasing our Equity direct exposure in the starting years of retirement we can constantly change that later on currently last thing I want to do is look at what we call the mixed information all of these things with each other in a spread sheet just so we'can see just how these different pieces are working with each other as well as after that look at what we call different Monte Carlo analyzes so currently I want to share with you some of the specific test evaluation that we run simply like we would certainly for a typical customer to assist recognize not only where the weak areas are in the profile however just how these different decisions that we ' re making impact the overall client equilibrium and it ' s not just looking at what we call a typical price of return it ' s looking at a thousand different simulations we ' re going to look at a pair right here and also the Order of the return so inspect out the video if you want to recognize even more'regarding this principle you can click the web link up above and also the title of the video clip is how eleven percent average returns could destroy your retirement as well as that ' ll really get home that idea of it ' s not about what you balance yet it ' s regarding the order in which you recognize returns over the course of your retired life during the day distribution phase so here we have this private test and also we ' re gon na it ' s the average circumstance out of a thousand different situations so I simply want to go'with this rather swiftly with you as well as based on some of the adjustments to the portfolio we see the financial investment return column below so all of this I think balanced out to I think it was concerning 4 and also a half percent gross returns I can go'back and also double check that in a 2nd yet you see it ' s it ' s never ever 4 4 4 four four 4 4 4 or 6 six 6 six this is what it looks like in the actual globe so James retires essentially the start of 2023 we have the Deferred income annuity clicking on right here we ' ve altered Social Protection to click on below so if we include these two with each other come hell or high water there'will certainly'be minimally 74 000 nearly 75 000 transferred into his bank account every solitary year currently if we look at the retirement require it ' s about sixty one thousand bucks plus the discretionary Go-Go investing is concerning twelve thousand two ninety nine so about seventy three thousand dollars yet what this does is due to the fact that we ' re getting so a lot from these 2 sources it really minimizes the need for the profile to do and if we kind of go out go on out via retired life you see Social Security isn ' t boosting revenue so later on in life currently we ' re up to regarding 89 practically 90 000 of earnings as well as our ninety thousand dollars inflation adjusted retirement revenue requirement is covered by the amount of assured life time revenue that we have in the profile which then allows our profile equilibriums to support because we ' re not needing it to sustain our way of life later on in life so this is just one instance right here however we see the ending profile worth also though it spends down a little bit in the beginning years fine it begins to support since the revenue provided from the choices that we ' ve made placed us in a situation where we put on ' t have to take out so a lot from the profile Okay so now I want to look at a different test as well as simply to validate below the 500th situation was a standard of 4.6 but you saw the various order of those returns and exactly how we really obtained to 4.6 all right so if we move this up here allow ' s think it ' s a rather negative scenario this is going to let me alter it here find a worse return all right so this brings the average down to 3.05 and also we still see in bar chart kind below that the portfolio value still is stabilized and it ' s mainly because that adjustment in the Social Safety decision as well as adding the Deferred earnings annuity it still places us into that position to where if the market doesn ' t execute we have sufficient revenue from assured sources'that we ' re not reliant on the stock market to offer us income in retirement specifically later on in life when we generally are much more conventional as well as a lot of individuals that I ' ve worked with put on ' t have the same stomach at 80 or 82 to remain spent in Big Market pullbacks as they did when they were 52 or 62.

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How To Save $350k In Taxes In Your Retirement Planning and Live Your Retirement DREAM!

does conserving over 350 000 in potential tax obligations sound great to you in retired life I'' m going to reveal you how quickly we can obtain that done so this is the pair that came to see us and also they would like to know do I have sufficient can I retire just how do I pay less tax obligation after going with the scenario we hit the button ends up that they only have regarding a 65 probability of success our work is to get this number up means more than 65 percent so we can obtain you retired and a lot of the moment that indicates overlaying a tax obligation strategy developing a new earnings plan changing just how the Investment Profile is structured and all of this with each other is what we call your retired life success plan so when we take a look at the tax obligation strategy if we continue down the conventional wisdom it'' s an approximated 550 000 of taxes yet if we check out a suggested tax technique to save that approximated 350 000 we get the taxes to regarding 173 throughout retired life in enhancement to that we have an approximated ending balance of regarding 2.5 versus 1.7 by carrying out the tax plan in addition to adjusting when they intend on taking social security as well as creating a real income strategy so they understand when where and also just how much earnings to withdraw as well as changing the portfolio to make sure the quantity of risk in there and also the expected development is appropriate with their capability to stay in the we do all that which'' s what we call the retirement success plan and also that obtains them approximately a 99 likelihood of success to get started with your very own personalized retirement success strategy click the web link in the description below to arrange a see with among our experts that has a fiduciary duty to place your interests initially thanks [Songs]

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